With the number of real estate transactions on the upswing here in the Auburn, WA, south King County, and Pierce County areas, it only makes sense that we’ll also see more short sale transactions.

Around the water cooler, I’m hearing that some real estate brokers are fed up with the lengthy and time consuming process of working with short sale clients and have decided not to work with short sales any longer.

I can sure understand that attitude! Short sales are difficult, at best, and so many short sale listings never manage to close, whether due to unrealistic price expectations on the part of lenders, the physical condition of so many homes, buyers that get tired of waiting and walk away, or lenders that refuse to even look at offers (let alone counteroffer) thus letting a house ultimately go to auction.

Working short sales requires a team of experts that know what they’re doing and can address objections and legal issues as they arise. Agents must know the various programs involved, what the various banks require as far as what and when paperwork must be obtained, and how to counsel their clients. My team of experts, including lawyers, title reps, and escrow officers, know what they’re doing. We’ll be here during this upcoming 2012 year to answer your questions about short selling, listing your home at a price attractive to short sale buyers and to the banks involved in the process.

Call me when you have questions. I’ll do my best to answer them so that you can develop a strategic plan for moving forward – whether that involves short selling your house, keeping it, or allowing it to go through foreclosure.

*photo credit Jeff Turner via Flickr

Like many, you may have been sitting impatiently on the fence for the last three years hoping for a miracle that would allow you to sell your existing home without sacrificing too much more equity … and buy at today’s price and interest rate.

At least once a week I get a call from a previous client or someone “just checking out the market,” wanting to do exactly that. And, who absolutely wouldn’t want to buy a house with the bargains out there??!!

Let me try to help you make a bit of sense out of this type of scenario.

The latest statistics from the Office of Federal Housing Economic Oversight (OFHEO) and Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) indicate that home prices in Washington State, overall, lost approximately 8.67% from the end of 3rd quarter 2010 through 3rd quarter 2011, but gained 111.07% for the 20 year period ending 3rd quarter 2011. Okay .. math … 111.07% divided by 20 years = 5.55% a year appreciation!

Now, assuming that housing prices are getting to the bottom end of their free-fall, let’s also assume that housing prices will continue to appreciate overall at a safe rate of about 5% a year for the next 20 years. There’s still going to be some skidding when reviewed on the short term, but remember that real estate is a long term investment – 10-20 years.

Continuing with assumptions, let’s presume that housing prices in Washington State might fall another 7-8% over 2012 (I think that sounds like a bit much, but my crystal ball is a bit cloudy, so who knows? Note, that The Housing Predictor anticipates an approximate drop in the Seattle area of about 5.1%.)

So … your current house valued today at, say $250,000, might be worth approximately $230,000 or maybe $235,000 by year end. Yikes … another nosebleed of $15,000-$20,000. Perhaps you owe approximately $150,000-$200,000 … and you’re paying around 6% in interest on your mortgage. (Quick math … $200k at 6% = principal & interest payment is approximately $1,200 a month – but you’re paying more than that because you haven’t refinanced since 2008 and your house was worth more and your loan was bigger. I’m guessing you’re probably paying around $1,600 a month principal and interest.)

You want a bigger house, different neighborhood, lower interest rates. And you can buy that for, say, $275,000-$300,000 at today’s prices. At the end of the year (assuming you wait until next December), those houses might be priced at $255,000-$280,000.

Let’s look at what that means to your pocketbook by comparing interest rates.

Right now, rates are sitting right around 4%. They move around a bit … but let’s say 4% just for talking sake.

Analysts have been surprised that rates have stayed as low as they are, so let’s presume they go back up to 5%. If you buy in January rather than waiting until next December, your purchase might look like this:

Interesting … buying now at a higher price still saves about $45 a month over waiting until year end and paying a bit more in interest.

Now, let’s look back at that historical trend for appreciation. Conservatively, let’s say that  house gains in value 5% a year overall for 20 years.

Therefore, if you buy a house today at $275,000, twenty years from now at 5% a year (hmmmm, 100% increase), historically, that house could be worth approximately $550,000. Plan to keep the house 10 years? How about approximately $412,500?

Should you sell … and buy new in 2012?  “I” think so; personally I expect prices to start to rise in 2013. But, of course it has to make sense to you. If you plan to buy a home and believe you’ll be able to stay in it for 10 years or more, then absolutely.

If your overall payment on a replacement home is within your budget, you have the funds to close the sale of your old home and a new one, then let’s get going while rates are amazing and prices are too!

*man on fence graphic thanks to Flickr, Michael Kuhn

In some respects, of course, he’s absolutely right. But in others, it’s amazing how little prices have gone up.

Today he sent me a list of a few things and their prices in 1955. Of note, of course, are prices like gasoline – 23 cents a gallon; milk – 85 cents a gallon; eggs – 61 cents a dozen.

A bit of checking around and I see this list, thanks to www.fiftiesweb.com: 

House: $22,000
Average income: $4,137
Ford car: $1606-$2944
Milk: $.92
Gas: $.23
Bread $.18
Postage stamp: $.03
Sirloin chops: $ .69 lb.
Pot Roast: $.43 lb.
Eggs, doz.: $.61
Coffee: $.93 lb.
Milk, ½ gal. $.43
Potatoes, 10 lb. bag: $.53
Starkist Tuna, 6 ½ oz. can: $.25 lb.
Oreo cookies, 11¾ .oz pkg: $.39
Potato Salad, pint: $.29
Cracker Jack, 24 pac: $1.49
Apple cider,½ gal.: $.49
Gum Drops, 1½ lb. pkg: $.29
Ivory Soap, 2 bars: $.29
Mickey Mouse lunchbox: $.88
Slinky: $.88
Nylons, pair: $1.00
Home permanent: $1.50
Baseball Glove: $9.95

As I reviewed this list, I’m thinking … wow, some of these haven’t gone up much at all. I mean, last week’s ad for potatoes was something like $1.48 for a ten pound bag (about 3 times more than 1955); milk – $2.59 a gallon (oof, that’s a big price increase: about 6 times, although I’m pretty sure I see milk for $1.99 a gallon now and then) eggs were something like $1.50 a dozen or so (can’t find an ad anywhere) – up about 2.5 times.

Gas in my area (just south of Seattle) is right around $3.30 a gallon – up 14.3 times (that’s a gotcha!)

Anyway, then I decided to look at the price of housing. According to this chart, the price of a home in 1955 was about 5.3 times the average income.

Hmmmmmmmmmmm

Looking at local statistics, Washington state reports that the 2011 median income for King County (basically the greater Seattle area) is projected to be $66,294. Median house price for sold homes in King County right now? The Northwest Multiple Listing Service (NWMLS) says: $343,700 as of end of November. 5.18 times the median income. Pretty close to 1955.

Now, 1955 is just slightly before my memory (I was two in 1955) … I have memories of some of these though! I wonder what my grandchildren born in 2010 will think when looking back at prices when they’re 55.

Enough analysis this time of the morning!

Yesterday I posted information about

Ideally, the outcome of mediation might allow you to restructure your loan, save your home, or agree to sell it as a short sale. In fact, a decision maker for the bank is required to be present at the Mediation meeting – at least by phone. Of course, if no agreement is reached, the ultimate outcome might be to allow your home to proceed through Foreclosure.

This mediation step is a bit more complex than the informal meeting to which you are entitled right away (see yesterday’s post). Mediation must be requested by an attorney or housing counselor within 30 days of the bank or Trustee filing of the Notice of Default and must be held within 45 days of the referral to Mediation by the attorney. You’ll also be required to pay your half ($200) of the cost of Mediation hearing ($400).

Prior to Mediation meeting, both you, as the owner-occupant, and the bank will need to assemble a list of documents – yours will include financial documents such as tax returns, pay stubs, and so on. It’s an extensive list, but not difficult. Since you will be working with an attorney or counselor, they’ll assist you in determining exactly what documents you’ll need.

Note that the Foreclosure Fairness Act took place on July 22, 2011. If you received a Notice of Default prior to that date and foreclosure of your home has not yet been completed by the bank, you are also entitled to Mediation. You’ll want to contact an attorney experienced in the Foreclosure Fairness Act as soon as possible! Doing so can delay a scheduled auction!

As usual, you should also contact your Realtor© so that you are fully aware of your options and for the name of an attorney that is experienced in Foreclosure work.

In Washington State, folks that get behind on their house payments have options as described in the

One of the first steps a lender must take for a home in Washington is to send a letter to the homeowner describing their options – the first of which is the right to request an informal meeting with the lender before a Notice of Default is filed.

But here’s the thing … the homeowner has to make the request within 30 days from the date of the options letter.

• So … open every piece of mail that comes from your lender.
• Read it carefully and then  exercise your option to meet with the lender to discuss the situation.
• Do it by phone and ask insist that they confirm your request in writing.
• Follow up with a letter to them in writing — maybe even registered mail so that you have a record of your request.
• Keep copies of anything and everything you send and notes about every conversation you have with them.
• Get the names of the people with whom you talk … and write down the phone numbers and dates you make any calls.

and finally …

Engage an attorney to represent you at the meeting. Talk everything through with him/her … and with your real estate agent so that you know what your options truly are.

But first … Just Open the Mail!

Sellers are too! They want to see their home in all of its beauty up on the Web. Every feature. Every room. With flowers in bloom and counters gleaming. They’ve already looked at lots of houses on the internet and know that their house looks at least as good as all of the ones they see, and probably better.

And then there’s us Agents/Brokers. We do a quick MLS search for a home for a particular feature trying to find the perfect house for our clients, or in an attempt to begin evaluating the competition.

When working with clients, it’s so important to listen to what they want and/or why they bought the house they did. Perhaps it’s a great back yard. Or they want “this” kitchen. Or that master bathroom is amazing. That sort of thing. And, as agents, we tend to write all that down and include it in the description.

But sadly, so much of that glorious description isn’t borne out in the photos.

Case in point: Today I began searching for a Buyer who wants a mountain view. My MLS search pointed out 17 listings in his area and price range. Of those 17 listings, only three (3!!) actually gave some attempt at showing the mountain view they described or had included as a feature in the listing itself.

Now that’s a bit of a problem. The client wants to see photos and I’m left to question just how much of a view there actually is. One listing described an “amazing Mt. Rainier view.” Not a picture anywhere. Not even a mention that “The Mountain” really IS out there on a clear day. Of course I’ll drive out and take a look myself, but really? Is the mountain really visible?

Good photos are immensely valuable, especially to the Seller. This “amazing Mt. Rainier view” is intriguing enough to call the Buyer to go take a look. But just imagine how many folks would like to see that view and dream a little … perhaps just enough … to buy the house.

It doesn’t take an expensive camera to get good photos, but it does take paying attention. Both to the descriptions from the seller and to what we actually write. As agents, those are the things we need to emphasize in our photos. Rhapsodizing about the granite counters is one thing — showing a photo of a clean, decluttered, gleaming counter says it all. The potential buyer should say ”Wow, Look at That!”

There’s value in that photo and it’s good seller representation.

Selling a manufactured home on land is a bit different than selling a stick-built home. There are a few more inspections and requirements, not to mention finding a lender that will lend!

http://www.flickr.com/photos/afroswede/474602/

Here in the Auburn area of Western Washington, I’ve had the dubious pleasure of working through a few sticky manufactured home transactions over the last few months. Now, don’t get me wrong — working with the buyers and sellers was truly a pleasure! It’s just that there are so many different steps to be taken that sometimes clients can feel a bit overwhelmed by the whole process;  and it’s so necessary to be the knowledgeable hand that helps guide the sale.

With a couple of caveats that every transaction is truly different and that different jurisdictions have slightly different requirements, here are a few starter points.

1.       Not every manufactured home qualifies for traditional financing methods – only those built after June 15, 1976. Your home built on May 31, 1976 won’t qualify for traditional financing — you’ll need to appeal to a buyer that has all cash or some source of private funding.

2.       Know that in order to get any sort of financing for the purchase of a manufactured home, the home must have gone through a title elimination process. A bit of background – when a manufactured home is purchased, it’s personal property – like a car or boat. Title is maintained by the Department of Licensing just like the title to a car. This is likely a testament to the fact that a manufactured home is towed down the road on its own axles and tires, which are then typically removed when the home is placed on its foundation.

That personal property title must be eliminated and the home married to the real property (the land) on which it sits. Home loans are for real property – not for vehicles.

3.       Speaking of Foundations — this gets a bit tricky. Prior to 1996, manufactured homes were often trucked to their site and then set up on a series of concrete blocks. Those blocks often sat on poured or prefab cement slabs. Then tie downs were attached to the underlying steel beams that run the length of the home and subsequently secured to the earth or the cement slabs, or whatever. In our area, which is generally not subject to enormously high winds such as hurricanes, some homes were installed without the tie downs and just sit on the blocks.

Now then – bear with me – FHA and VA loans are often used for manufactured homes. It used to be that conventional funding was a bit more lenient with requirements, but I’ve found lately that conventional and FHA/VA requirements are similar. So here’s the thing. In 1996, HUD (Dept. of Housing and Urban Development) placed a requirement that all manufactured homes on private land must be secured to a “permanent foundation,” which they defined. These permanent foundations are designed to prevent the home from shifting or moving away from their supporting structures.

HUD guidelines state that compliance with the guidelines must be certified for all re-sales.

This means that a homeowner must ensure that the foundation system complies with the guidelines by hiring a licensed professional engineer to examine the current foundation structure and certify, in writing, that the foundation is compliant. If not, the homeowner must have the foundation retrofitted prior to sale.

http://www.flickr.com/photos/dphiffer/81910028/

4.       One additional step can also be critical, and yet is so often overlooked by an existing manufactured home homeowner. Prior to adding anything to the exterior structure of the home, such as deck, porch, awning, an extra room, etc., you should have obtained an L&I permit in addition to obtaining the appropriate jurisdictional building permit (if required). That’s right – the Dept. of Labor and Industries must also permit and inspect your addition and certify that it meets the manufactured home standards.

See, manufactured homes are designed to be dismantled from their foundation and pulled down the road. That means all exterior structures surround the house must be self-supporting. For example, that deck must have supports and beams of its own – not merely attached to the home by means of a ledger board.

Similarly, electrical modifications, replacing your hot water heater, adding a wood burning or pellet stove, etc. must be approved by L&I. You’ll likely need proof of the modification. If you did not obtain the L&I permit before altering your home, you may need to obtain an L&I inspection before your home can be sold.

Absolutely your manufactured home can be sold. Paying attention to these 4 Critical Facts when selling your manufactured home can make all the difference in an easy sale!

One of the requirements to obtaining and maintaining a mortgage or loan on your home is that it be adequately insured against unexpected disasters. It’s important to know that damage from floods or landslides are not typically included in normal homeowner insurance policies.

Evaluation of whether a home resides within a flood plain is part of the consideration in obtaining affordable homeowner’s insurance. This can affect the ability of a buyer to fulfill the terms of their purchase contract, as expensive insurance may negatively impact that buyer’s ability to qualify for the purchase of the home.

Similarly, the requirement that flood insurance be obtained can negatively impact the Seller’s ability to sell a home. A home that’s not insurable, or one that has what appear to be excessively high premiums, can be difficult to sell to anyone that must finance their purchase, limiting prospective buyers to cash only or seller-carried contracts.

In most purchase contracts in which I participate, I recommend that the buyer include a provision that their annual homeowner insurance premium be no more than 1/2 of 1% of the purchase price. Generally that’s doable, unless the home happens to reside in an area designated as residing in a flood plain — then prices skyrocket as the prospective homeowner must also negotiate flood insurance.

As geology, improvements to land, and technology change,  flood maps are updated by FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency). Your home, which previously was not within a flood prone area, may be now … or, conversely, perhaps it is no longer, affecting your  insurance rates.

In incorporated and unincorporated King County, those flood maps have recently been re-drawn and can now be viewed during one of the three public meetings listed below. Additionally, you can review the new King County flood maps online, obtain more information about these public meetings, and review the flood insurance studies by visiting the King County Preliminary Flood Insurance page.

City of Auburn
Wednesday, January 26, 2011
6 – 8:00 P.M.
Dick Scobee Elementary School
1031 14th Street NE, Auburn, WA 98002
253-931-4984

City of Renton
Thursday, January 27, 2011
6 – 8:00 P.M.
Renton City Hall
Council Chambers – 7th Floor
1055 S. Grady Way, Renton, WA 98057
425-430-6400

City of Kent
Monday, February 7, 2011
6 – 8:00 P.M.
Kent Senior Activity Center
600 E. Smith Street, Kent, WA 98030
253-856-5150

Additional information about flood insurance in Washington State can be found at the Office of the Insurance Commissioner.

Finally, be sure to periodically review the terms of your homeowner insurance policy. It’s critically important that you know exactly what is … and what is not … covered on your policy. Damage from flood waters, earthquakes, or extra coverage for all that nifty personal computing equipment you own, may require extra attention in the form of insurance riders.

For help with your homeowner insurance needs, please let me know and I’ll be delighted to refer you to an outstanding insurance professional.

Many of the sellers with whom I’ve interacted lately in Maple Valley bought their homes in the last five or six years. Comparing what they paid for the home then with what average prices look like now is one step in determining listing price.

Notice that prices in October of 2010 are below prices for October since 2004! (yikes!) … But looking over the last few months, prices actually seem to be pretty close to prices in 2004. However, it’s important to know that prices are local. What’s happening in your neighborhood may be somewhat different.

Working with a qualified real estate broker will help you determine the market value of your home. Please don’t hesitate to contact me whenever you must make decisions regarding the value of your home.

So … as of today, November 10, 2010, here’s what the Auburn Real Estate Market reports for residential sales … all Auburn addresses both in King and Pierce Counties:

We’re holding pretty close to previous months in that about 46% of closed sales are the result of distress situations, a bit higher than most of King County.

To analyze this a bit further, it’s necessary to turn to the official “statistics” as provided by the NWMLS. The following charts report only on the Auburn area as defined by the MLS. This generally includes Algona, Pacific and the overall Auburn area including only King County addresses that are east of West Valley Highway, but extend all the way through the East Hill area up to Crest Air Park, and south into parts of the Enumclaw plateau. It’s a bit skewed, but gives a reasonable representation of the area.

Looking at the chart, I can see that it continues to take almost 120 days to obtain an offer even for well-priced homes, much longer than in previous years. Considering that interest rates are phenomenally low, to some extent I can only surmise that Buyers remain hesitant to make offers — or are making very low, unacceptable offers — due to the continued slow force of our local economy. 

However, for properties that actually make it all the way to closing (SOLD!), the time frame is even longer — 169 days! Look back up in this post to the previous snapshot of Auburn to see, however, that 26 of the homes that did sell were either bank or short sale listings. Those take a while!

On a personal note, I saw a considerable uptick in pending offers for my own business during the month of October. Maybe it’s just me? Here’s the chart comparing the actual number of homes that had pending offers — down a bit from September.

Finally, as expected, we continue to be in a solid “Buyer’s Market” in Auburn — it’ll take a little over 11 months to clear all the current inventory of homes — assuming nothing new is listed, of course.

As usual, if you have any questions about this information, or would like to see similar information for the area immediately around your own home, please let me know. I’m always delighted to be of help!